Stellar has the coordination to migrate and nothing to migrate to. The Stellar Development Foundation has shipped over 20 protocol upgrades and controls SCP cadence, but there is no PQ roadmap, no research output, and no hybrid plan. Remittance accounts hold long-lived Ed25519 signatures in dormant keys.
Summary
Stellar is a classical-crypto L1 with no published PQC program. Ed25519 across accounts, SHA-256 hashing, SCP consensus. SDF is the coordination authority and has executed 20+ protocol upgrades, so migration capacity exists — but no PQ roadmap, no research output, no hybrid plan. Remittance focus means long-lived classical signatures in dormant accounts.
What the gates say
- Hybrid: FAIL. no hybrid plan
- Evidence: PASS. Sources reconstructable by third party.
- Primitive naming: PASS. Named primitives at every scored sub-level.
Burn-vs-rescue policy on file
none-announced
Seven dimensions
Each dimension scores 0-100 internally; the weighted roll-up produces the QRI on the left. Open a row to read the sub-score detail.
1 Cryptographic Exposure 22 / 100
Uniform Ed25519 signature scheme across accounts.
Ed25519 (account signatures) · SHA-256 (hashing) · SCP (Stellar Consensus Protocol, quorum-based)Zero PQ family deployed. Single-family classical crypto.
No NIST PQC category deployed.
2 HNDL Exposure 22 / 100
Ed25519 pubkeys exposed on first tx. Large exchange-held balances via federated hot wallets increase active surface.
~10 years old. SDF held 42.5% (later reduced) represents institutional dormant exposure.
All historical Ed25519 signatures Shor-forgeable; no rotation primitive.
Standard TLS; no PQC KEM in Horizon/peer protocol.
3 Metadata & Privacy Exposure 28 / 100
Fully transparent ledger; payment memos often contain user identifiers (remittance use case).
Horizon API concentration at SDF and a few providers.
USDC issuance and anchor networks tie Stellar addresses to off-chain KYC.
No shielded pools; retroactive risk is transparent-ledger inference.
4 Migration Architecture 32 / 100
Protocol version upgrades via SCP; no in-protocol signature-scheme switch primitive. Muxed accounts and Soroban are additive, not agility.
No AA. Multisig and weighted thresholds exist; Soroban smart contracts possible but not used as accounts.
Regular protocol upgrades (20+). Predictable cadence; SDF-coordinated.
No published hybrid roadmap; no PQ signature-scheme preparation observed.
5 Deployment Execution 5 / 100
Zero PQC on mainnet. Mosca cap triggers.
No PQC code in stellar-core; no PQ research branch observed.
Zero PQ validators across SCP quorum.
No published PQ milestones from SDF.
No announcements; no washing.
6 Supply Chain Vendor Readiness 8 / 100
7 Governance & Coordination 42 / 100
SCP quorum slices; Tier-1 nodes concentrated among SDF, SatoshiPay, LOBSTR, COINQVEST, Blockdaemon.
Regular protocol version bumps; SDF coordinates.
Named: Stellar Development Foundation (SDF), Denelle Dixon. Single dominant foundation.
No cryptographic emergency precedent; 2019 inflation event handled.
The X + Y vs Z inequality
X (data shelf life): 5-15 (Ed25519 static, no rotation)
Y (migration time): 5-10 (SDF-led protocol upgrade required)
Z10 (10% CRQC year): 2036 · Z50 (50%): 2041
Verdict: X+Y > Z (danger).
Four-scenario grid
| Scenario | Value preserved | Privacy preserved |
|---|---|---|
| quantum never | 100% | 100% |
| arrives suddenly pre migration | 10% | 10% |
| arrives slowly post migration | 55% | 30% |
| arrives slowly mid migration | 30% | 15% |
Peers in the L1 profile
Order-book view of the 9 chains closest to Stellar by QRI.
Public artifacts used for this scorecard
Each entry below is a sub-score citation. Clicking the link takes you to the public source. A third party should be able to reconstruct every number on this page from these URLs in 48 hours.
Uniform Ed25519 signature scheme across accounts.
Supply chain snapshot
A chain's supply chain cannot migrate faster than its slowest dependency. Zero PQC roadmaps in any of the four categories is a structural blocker, not a lagging indicator.
Analyst notes on the scoring
Stage 0. Low washing ratio (honest silence). Gate failure: no hybrid plan. SDF governance coherence is the only positive signal. Typical L1 baseline.
Scorecard metadata
- Profile: L1
- Scored: 2026-04-17 by
layerqu-v2-scoring-agent-5 - v1 reference:
chainscreen-v1-archive - QRI raw: 16 · after caps: 14
- Confidence interval: ±5
- PQC washing ratio: 0x
- Burn-vs-rescue: none-announced
Caps triggered
- mosca_cap_60 (5a=0)
- sutor_cap_50 (zero milestones)